Updated:
Tuesday December 30, 2008
With the exception of any written comments made to the Department of Homeland Security prior to an Aug. 25 deadline, along with whatever last-minute incentives might be offered up by the state government, and whatever political pressure might be brought to bear, Thursday's DHS-sponsored public meetings were pretty much the last word this community will have on the proposed National Bio- and Agro-Defense Facility.
So, now is as good a time as any to look back at how and where the proponents and opponents of bringing the animal disease research facility to a 67-acre University of Georgia-owned tract at the intersection of South Milledge Avenue and Whitehall Road made, or failed to make, their respective cases.
First, a look at the opposition, spearheaded by Grady Thrasher and Kathy Prescott, the husband and wife team behind the nonprofit group For Athens Quality-of-life, with able assists from local freelance writer Matt DeGennaro and a cast of ... dozens? Hundreds? A few thousand?
It's arguable whether opponents' sometimes over-the-top rhetoric (dubbing the NBAF a "Bio Terror Lab," for example) or their hooting at, and attempted shouting down, of the lab's proponents during public hearings, hurt them or not.
They were, however, unquestionably hurt by their inability to persuade more than a token number of opponents to show up. At each of Thursday's meetings, the NBAF opponents numbered somewhere in the few dozens. It was a lackluster turnout for an opposition movement that has consistently tried to claim "a majority" of area residents are strongly opposed to the NBAF coming to Athens-Clarke County.
The NBAF opponents clearly recognized the lack of truly significant numbers at the meetings were a problem.
One Thursday speaker suggested that, given the University of Georgia's leading role in trying to lure the NBAF, UGA employees who might otherwise have spoken out were silent out of fear of losing their jobs.
Another speaker contended news reports from a few days ago indicating a DHS official had moved a Mississippi site up on the list of potential NBAF locations might have convinced some local opponents the lab wouldn't be coming to Athens.
Time for some back-of-the-envelope debunking: There are somewhere north of 100,000 people in Athens-Clarke County. UGA employs somewhere around 10,000 people. Thus, the NBAF opposition should comprise a healthy number of people without UGA ties who, for whatever reason, opted not to take advantage of a final chance to try to sway the DHS against Athens-Clarke County.
And as far as the story on political shenanigans regarding the NBAF siting, is it reasonable to think local NBAF opponents wouldn't have relished an opportunity to use it to rail against the DHS on Thursday?
It is, then, fair to conclude opposition to the NBAF might not have been, and might never be, as widespread as the facility's most vocal opponents have tried to make the rest of the community, and the DHS, believe.
That's not to say, though, the NBAF proponents - largely comprising UGA officials and bioscience professors, state and local Chamber of Commerce and economic development folks, and federal, state and local elected officials - presented a particularly effective case.
The economic development argument relied, in large part, on the well-worn notion that landing a major employer like the NBAF would entice other bioscience and biotechnology firms to locate in and around Athens-Clarke County. It's a tempting and not altogether unreasonable expectation, but there are problems.
The DHS has indicated the vast majority of the NBAF employees will come from an existing federal animal disease research facility. That might be a contrast to any private-sector bioscience firm that might look at Athens-Clarke County as a possible location. Presumably, most private-sector projects would be expansions rather than relocations, meaning those firms would rely far more heavily on the local workforce. And, as won't be forgotten in these parts for a long time, Athens-Clarke and Oconee counties recently lost the competition for a Swiss pharmaceutical firm, due, in part, to that company's concerns about workforce readiness.
For their part, UGA officials and researchers relied in part on arguments about a loosely defined synergy between that institution and the NBAF that would somehow enhance both enterprises - although it's not particularly clear how or when that might happen - to convince the community to accept the project.
Thus, it was a bit hard to completely discount the NBAF opponent who suggested Thursday the academic boosters of the NBAF seemed to be doing little more than auditioning for jobs at the facility.
A final decision on the NBAF is expected in December, with little for the community to do but wait it out. And in the end, it might not matter what the facility's proponents or opponents have had to say.
The final decision on the NBAF will be made be the same DHS official who arbitrarily moved the Mississippi site up on the siting list.
• Jim Thompson is editorial page editor of the Athens Banner-Herald. He can be contacted at (706) 208-2222 or by e-mail at jim.thompson@onlineathens.com.